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Demise of Elizabeth II: will Australia, Canada or Jamaica depart the British crown?

Posted Sep 13, 2022 7:00 AM

It occurred final November. The tiny Caribbean island of Barbados celebrated its transition to republican rule, after some 4 centuries of subjection to the British monarch. Now king and head of the Commonwealth, an intergovernmental group made up largely of former territories of the British Empire, King Charles III may have the duty of sustaining the cohesion of the group, within the continuity of his mom. However will he succeed? Some members, equivalent to Australia or Jamaica, marvel concerning the that means of getting a British head of state.

We interviewed Virginie Roiron, lecturer in British civilization on the College of Strasbourg and specialist within the Commonwealth, to attempt to reply this important query for the way forward for the group.

Les Echos Begin: Whereas Charles III obtained a number of representatives of the Commonwealth, will the loss of life of Elizabeth II break the unity of the group of the previous British colonies?

Virginie Roiron: For my part, no. The Commonwealth is a functioning worldwide group. After all, she additionally has weaknesses, however this isn’t linked to the chief who embodies her. All through her reign, the Queen ensured that the Commonwealth didn’t cut up, presenting herself as a determine of unity. Furthermore, in accordance with the London declaration of 1949, the top of the Commonwealth is the image of the unity of the group.

Charles III resumes this function of chief. He isn’t taking it again as a result of he inherited it, however as a result of the members of the Commonwealth determined on the 2018 London summit that he would succeed his mom as head of the group. The then prince had already been despatched to the opening of a number of Commonwealth summits.

So we’ve a easy transition. However, out of the 56 states of the Commonwealth, solely 15 acknowledge the British crown as head of state (Australia, the Bahamas, Canada, New Zealand and even Jamaica). For the latter, the loss of life of the queen can encourage these states to make the leap and turn into republics. A few of the states that acknowledged the crown didn’t await the loss of life of a monarch to turn into republics. We noticed it final 12 months with Barbados, or in 1992 with Mauritius. Republican actions may emerge within the Caribbean states, the place the Black Lives Matter motion has had a powerful echo. This motion could have led the folks of those territories to marvel why their international locations would proceed to be represented by the king of their former colonizing energy.

Nonetheless, this doesn’t imply that the Commonwealth is threatened. Barbados, for instance, has chosen to turn into a republic, whereas remaining a member of the Commonwealth, thus recognizing the monarch as head of the group.

Throughout Prince William’s go to to Jamaica in March, demonstrations denounced the UK’s slave previous and Jamaican Prime Minister Andrew Holness deemed his island’s change to a republican regime “inevitable”. After Barbados, Jamaica?

The republican motion has been brewing within the nation for a very long time. The very fact of now not having the determine of the queen, which imposed a sure respect, will maybe velocity up the method. However as I advised you beforehand, the Black Lives Matter motion has had robust repercussions all through the Caribbean, greater than within the Pacific, which may push different states on this geographical space to show to the republic.

Final 12 months, when Barbados turned a republic, Prince Charles acknowledged the atrocities of slavery, after which Prince William did the identical. We really feel that the British monarchy has turn into conscious of those claims. However the monarch will not be the British authorities. He cannot apologize. If he apologizes, it is going to have penalties for the British authorities. The queen has by no means spoken on this topic: will Charles, now king, proceed to evoke this slavery previous? What is for certain is that there’s a problem when it comes to communication of the royal household within the face of this previous which doesn’t move.

Conversely, Togo and Gabon selected to hitch the Commonwealth final June. Is that this proof that the Commonwealth nonetheless attracts?

Sure, and that’s the reason we should distinguish between Commonwealth member states that acknowledge the British monarch as head of state and people which might be merely a part of the group.

That is the anomaly of the Commonwealth, a company born of the British Empire. It’s furthermore for India, which wished to turn into a republic in 1949, that the potential differentiation that we’ve simply talked about was created.

The arrival of Togo and Gabon may also be perceived as an financial refocusing of the group. They’re accepted as a result of Africa represents a promising market. After Brexit, Nice Britain is searching for financial partnerships. The Commonwealth then acts as a community the place it’s simpler to commerce.

As early as 1999, a referendum was organized in Australia which concluded that the queen ought to be maintained as head of state. May a brand new referendum of this kind be put again on the desk in Australia after the loss of life of Elizabeth II?

It’ll absolutely be one of many first international locations to publish Republican calls for, even when it stays troublesome to make predictions if a brand new vote had been organized at present. In 1999, the queen had deliberate a visit on the time of the referendum which, in accordance with some, could have tipped the stability in favor of protecting the monarch as head of state (55%).

However greater than 20 years have handed. Views of Australian identification have advanced. As in New Zealand, the inhabitants seeks to have a extra inclusive identification, which takes under consideration the primary nations, just like the Aborigines and the Maoris. This growth appears more and more incompatible with protecting the British monarch as head of state.

And Canada in all this?

In response to a ballot revealed final April, a small majority of Canadians stated they needed to place an finish to royalty, whereas this determine reached 71% in Quebec. On the similar time, 67% of Canadians stated they had been against Charles succeeding his mom, Elizabeth II.

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